Model M1: Macro-Surprise Scoring for Major FX Pairs
A sign-aware, half-life-decayed contrarian overlay with walk-forward validation. We build a daily macroeconomic-surprise score for eight currency zones.
3 publications associées.
A sign-aware, half-life-decayed contrarian overlay with walk-forward validation. We build a daily macroeconomic-surprise score for eight currency zones.
A cross-sectional macro score for the G10 Major FX Pairs. Aggregates short-rate level, trade-balance change, policy-rate direction, and growth momentum into a dollar-neutral long/short.
Architecture et métriques du moteur de scoring macro-fondamental pour les devises du G7. Analyse de la valeur structurelle, de la dynamique cyclique et des régimes de risque.